ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR)

In the past six months, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. announced its Q3 2025 results, reporting a GAAP net income of $156.3 million, or $1.49 per common share, and net interest income of $38.5 million. During August 2025, ARMOUR completed the sale of 18.5 million shares of common stock, generating approximately $298.6 million in net proceeds. In September 2025, ARMOUR repurchased 684,102 shares of common stock through a stock repurchase program. The company paid common stock dividends of $0.24 per share per month, totaling $0.72 per share for Q3, and declared upcoming dividends of $0.24 per share for October and November. ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) underperformed the US Mortgage REITs industry and the broader US Market over the past year.

Historical data suggests that there is demand seasonality for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s stock. Analysis of decades of average returns, correlation, and bias checks indicates that for October, the historical bias leans short. A statistically strong window is anticipated to culminate around November 15, 2025. Investors can use historical insights into mean and median monthly returns to identify seasonal patterns for ARR.

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that invests primarily in residential mortgage-backed securities within the United States. The company's securities portfolio consists of MBS issued or guaranteed by U.S. Government-sponsored entities or guaranteed by the Government National Mortgage Administration. The company may also invest in unsecured notes and bonds issued by GSEs and U.S. Treasuries, as well as money market instruments. As a REIT, the company distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders as dividends.

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s investment activities are focused on the United States, specifically in residential mortgage-backed securities. The company is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida.

Over the past year, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.'s reputation has been subject to varying perceptions, often tied to its financial performance and dividend sustainability. Recent updates and analyst commentary have presented a mixed picture. While some reports confirm a "Bullish Outlook" following Q3 2025 earnings, others have described the company as "Undervalued But Not A Steady Earnings Grower" and noted "Weakening Fundamentals May Spark A Strong Downtrend, Sell." Concerns have also been raised regarding "New Leadership Doesn't Hint Improvement" and the likelihood of "A Dividend Reset."

Major institutional investors hold significant stakes in ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. ORG Wealth Partners, LLC, established a new position by acquiring 315,000 shares, valued at $4.71 million. Other institutional holders include Jpmorgan Chase, VTSMX - Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Investor Shares, VFINX - Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares, Price T Rowe Associates, and Capital World Investors. Stephens Inc. AR also increased its holdings by 159.1% in the second quarter, owning 42,953 shares worth approximately $722,000.