GEO Group Inc (GEO)

Over the past six months, The GEO Group's stock experienced a significant decline, dropping 42.92% to $17.50 on January 9, 2026. The 52-week trading range has been between $14.27 and $36.46. In Q3 CY2025, GEO surpassed revenue expectations with $682.3 million, but Q4 CY2025 revenue guidance fell below estimates. GAAP EPS of $1.24 exceeded analyst consensus. The operating margin decreased due to higher staffing costs and expenses associated with new contracts. In Q2 2025, total revenues increased to $636.2 million, with a net income of $29.1 million, and a $300 million share repurchase program was announced. Contract wins included a 15-year contract with ICE and new contracts representing over $460 million in incremental annualized revenues. The company increased its share repurchase authorization to $500 million in November 2025. Analyst ratings have seen adjustments, with Jones Trading lowering its price target to $37. Insider and hedge fund trading activity was noted, and Turiya Advisors Asia Ltd initiated a new position of 5,644,900 shares in November 2025.

The demand for The GEO Group's products and services exhibits seasonality, with tools and analyses available to identify seasonal patterns in GEO's monthly stock returns. Specific details regarding the nature of these seasonal demand fluctuations for its services are not explicitly detailed in the provided information.

The GEO Group, Inc. operates in the security sector, specializing in privatized corrections, detention, and government-outsourced services. The company invests in and manages private prisons and mental health facilities, providing security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, health, and food services. GEO also offers mental health and residential treatment services through GEO Care, Inc., electronic monitoring, supervision services, and reentry programs.

The GEO Group has a significant international presence, operating in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. Headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida, the company operates 97 facilities worldwide, encompassing approximately 74,000 beds.

The GEO Group's brand reputation has been influenced by ongoing scrutiny related to its operations. A lawsuit filed in 2017 by the Washington state Attorney General resulted in GEO being ordered to pay $17 million in back wages and $6 million for "unjust enrichment," a decision which the company appealed. Washington state renewed GEO's business license in December 2025 without disciplinary action. The company has also faced calls for a probe into Trump-era immigration deals and faces challenges related to ESG concerns.

Institutional investors hold the majority of The GEO Group's stock, ranging from approximately 81.88% to 95.8% of the shares. Key institutional owners include BlackRock, Inc., Vanguard Group Inc, and iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF. Individual investors, including insiders, own a smaller portion, with insiders holding approximately 4.33% of the company's stock. George C. Zoley is identified as a significant individual owner.